NYC median asking rent in December 2026
50/50 line46%Above $4,000
Line nearest 50/50
46%
Market median
3989.29
Biggest 24h move+10 pts
88%
24h volume
$29K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noWhat the market expects
median 3989.29Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above $3,800YES $13K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $13K
- Above $3,900YES $4K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $3K
- Above $4,100YES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $3,800 | YES | 95¢ | $13K | |
| Above $3,900 | YES | 86¢ | $1K | |
| Above $3,900 | YES | 81¢ | $3K | |
| Above $4,100 | YES | 20¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
4| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $3,800 | 96% | +1.5 | $19K | $12K |
| Above $3,900 | 88% | +10.0 | $6K | $5K |
| Above $4,000 | 46% | +7.5 | $2K | $6K |
| Above $4,100 | 24% | +4.0 | $2K | $7K |