What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 46%, implying a 46% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 31, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above $4,000

Settles Jan 31, 2027 (104d) All outcomes: NYC median asking rent in December 2026

chance of YES46% +7.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

30–72%

· 7d +64 pts

24h volume

2.4K

$1 contracts

Open interest

5.6K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.