What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 68%, implying a 68% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Fed maintains rate

Closes Dec 09, 2026 (175d) 24h volume 273 Open interest 2.2K Event Fed decision in Dec 2026?

68%

implied YES probability

+6.0pp 24h

Last 46 days · High 90% · Low 61% · 7d -12.7pp · 30d -15.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.