What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Hike 25bps

Closes Dec 09, 2026 (175d) 24h volume 1.6K Open interest 4.6K Event Fed decision in Dec 2026?

8%

implied YES probability

-18.0pp 24h

Last 43 days · High 31% · Low 1% · 7d -66.7pp · 30d +200.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.