polymarket
Economics
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
6%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 46 days ·
High 26% ·
Low 6%
· 7d 0.0pp
· 30d -23.5pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Qatar formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.