K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Core CPI in October

6 outcomesSettles Nov 10, 2026 (10d) Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line44%Above 0.2%
Line nearest 50/50
44%
Above 0.2%
Market median
0.184%
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move-12 pts
84%
Above 0.0%
24h volume
$5K
$297K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above 0.0% 84% -12
Above 0.1% 80% +4
Above 0.2% 44%
Above 0.3% 9% +3
Above 0.4% 5% +1
Above 0.5% 2% -1

What the market expects

median 0.184%

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Above 0.1%
    YES $7K · NO $1K · 3 orders · biggest $5K
  • Above 0.4%
    YES $0 · NO $7K · 2 orders · biggest $5K
  • Above 0.2%
    YES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
Above 0.1%YES 76¢$5K
Above 0.1%YES 76¢$1K
Above 0.4%NO 95¢$2K
Above 0.2%YES 45¢$1K
Above 0.4%NO 94¢$5K
Above 0.1%NO 25¢$1K

All outcomes

6
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 0.0% 84% -11.5 $2K $50K
Above 0.1% 80% +4.0 $31 $76K
Above 0.2% 44% +0.5 $36 $47K
Above 0.3% 9% +3.0 $219 $54K
Above 0.4% 5% +1.0 $1K $35K
Above 0.5% 2% -1.0 $1K $35K

Same series