Will CPI Core rise more than 0.3% in October?

Settles Nov 10, 2026 (10d) All outcomes: Core CPI in October Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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chance of YES9% +3.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
8–56%
30d -69 pts · 7d -53 pts
24h volume
219
$1 contracts
Open interest
54.5K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
17¢ / 18¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
17.0¢ 6,276 18.0¢ 8,455
14.0¢ 100 19.0¢ 5,645
13.0¢ 1,000 47.0¢ 487
12.0¢ 200 48.0¢ 1,000
7.0¢ 785 59.0¢ 3

Mid 17.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 0.0%84%2.2K