Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in October?

Settles Nov 10, 2026 (10d) All outcomes: Core CPI in October Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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chance of YES80% +4.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
68–94%
30d -4 pts · 7d -5 pts
24h volume
36
$1 contracts
Open interest
76.0K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
79¢ / 82¢
spread 3.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
79.0¢ 606 82.0¢ 1,128
78.0¢ 600 83.0¢ 393
77.0¢ 500 87.0¢ 5
74.0¢ 33 89.0¢ 134
50.0¢ 250 90.0¢ 2,000

Mid 80.5¢ · spread 3.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 0.0%84%2.2K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES76¢ 7,000$5K
YES76¢ 1,683$1K
NO25¢ 4,000$1K
YES82¢ 2,000$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.