Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in October?

Settles Nov 10, 2026 (10d) All outcomes: Core CPI in October Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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chance of YES44% +0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
28–74%
30d +57 pts · 7d -10 pts
24h volume
36
$1 contracts
Open interest
47.0K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
45¢ / 46¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
45.0¢ 348 46.0¢ 63
44.0¢ 818 47.0¢ 100
43.0¢ 250 49.0¢ 57
42.0¢ 301 50.0¢ 1,659
41.0¢ 10,750 72.0¢ 1

Mid 45.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 0.0%84%2.2K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES45¢ 2,222$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.