Will CPI Core rise more than 0.5% in October?

Settles Nov 10, 2026 (10d) All outcomes: Core CPI in October Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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Preview
chance of YES2% -0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
1–30%
· 7d -50 pts
24h volume
1.2K
$1 contracts
Open interest
35.0K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
2¢ / 3¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
2.0¢ 6,754 3.0¢ 35,352
1.0¢ 1,001 4.0¢ 335
12.0¢ 500
72.0¢ 1
77.0¢ 1

Mid 2.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 0.0%84%2.2K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO99¢ 1,269$1K
NO98¢ 3,411$3K
NO98¢ 1,108$1K
NO97¢ 1,108$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.