Will CPI Core rise more than 0.4% in October?

Settles Nov 10, 2026 (10d) All outcomes: Core CPI in October Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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chance of YES5% +1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
3–50%
· 7d +20 pts
24h volume
1.3K
$1 contracts
Open interest
34.5K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
3¢ / 4¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
3.0¢ 800 4.0¢ 4,400
2.0¢ 7,175 5.0¢ 30,000
1.0¢ 1,701 6.0¢ 139
8.0¢ 53
9.0¢ 500

Mid 3.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 0.0%84%2.2K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO95¢ 2,620$2K
NO94¢ 5,000$5K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.