P PolymarketEconomy & Fed

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Fed Watch

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chance of YES4%
Price range (120d)
2–8%
30d -6 pts · 7d -39 pts
24h volume
$4.2K
USDC traded
Open interest
$58.7K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

Open on Polymarket

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How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.