Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
50/50 line50%Above $275,000
Line nearest 50/50
50%
Market median
275329
Biggest 24h move-14 pts
12%
24h volume
$31K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noWhat the market expects
median 275329Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above $250,000YES $13K · NO $0 · 5 orders · biggest $5K
- Above $300,000YES $3K · NO $8K · 5 orders · biggest $3K
- Above $275,000YES $5K · NO $4K · 3 orders · biggest $5K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $275,000 | NO | 40¢ | $2K | |
| Above $250,000 | YES | 91¢ | $5K | |
| Above $300,000 | NO | 84¢ | $3K | |
| Above $300,000 | NO | 79¢ | $2K | |
| Above $300,000 | NO | 73¢ | $2K | |
| Above $250,000 | YES | 90¢ | $1K | |
| Above $250,000 | YES | 90¢ | $1K | |
| Above $300,000 | NO | 70¢ | $2K | |
| Above $250,000 | YES | 90¢ | $1K | |
| Above $250,000 | YES | 88¢ | $5K |
All outcomes
4| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $250,000 | 86% | — | $15K | $16K |
| Above $275,000 | 50% | -10.5 | $6K | $8K |
| Above $300,000 | 12% | -14.5 | $10K | $19K |
| Above $350,000 | 4% | -1.0 | $93 | $1K |