K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will average Wall Street bonus for 2026 be above $300,000?

Settles Mar 31, 2027 (151d) All outcomes: Average Wall Street bonus in 2026

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Preview
chance of YES11% -16.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
9–31%
30d +100 pts · 7d +14 pts
24h volume
10.2K
$1 contracts
Open interest
19.4K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$18K
18% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above $250,00086%14.7K
Above $275,00050%5.7K
Above $350,0004%93

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO84¢ 3,612$3K
NO79¢ 2,242$2K
NO73¢ 2,131$2K
NO70¢ 3,000$2K
YES25¢ 12,497$3K
NO79¢ 6,100$5K
NO84¢ 1,440$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.

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