K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will average Wall Street bonus for 2026 be above $275,000?

Settles Mar 31, 2027 (151d) All outcomes: Average Wall Street bonus in 2026

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Preview
chance of YES50% -11.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
24–61%
30d +62 pts · 7d +11 pts
24h volume
5.7K
$1 contracts
Open interest
8.5K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$9K
56% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above $250,00086%14.7K
Above $300,00011%10.2K
Above $350,0004%93

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO40¢ 5,488$2K
NO41¢ 3,915$2K
YES55¢ 8,816$5K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.

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