kalshi Economics

Will there be a recession in 2027?

Yes
Closes Jan 31, 2028 (502d) 24h volume 11.7K Open interest 217.5K Event Recession in 2027?
24%
implied YES probability
+3.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 88 days · High 45% · Low 22% · 7d +13.0pp · 30d -13.3pp
45%22%

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
20.0¢ 42 22.0¢ 62
19.0¢ 2042 23.0¢ 1099
18.0¢ 5865 24.0¢ 1820
17.0¢ 2108 25.0¢ 54
16.0¢ 2659 26.0¢ 871
Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 21.0¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.