What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 31, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Yes

Closes Jan 31, 2028 (593d) 24h volume 514 Open interest 24.4K Event Recession in 2027?

38%

implied YES probability

-4.0pp 24h

Last 54 days · High 51% · Low 33% · 7d -7.3pp · 30d -5.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.