kalshi Economics

Will there be a recession in 2026?

Starts
Closes Jan 31, 2027 (137d) 24h volume 16.9K Open interest 916.5K Event Recession this year?
10%
implied YES probability
+5.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 88 days · High 13% · Low 3% · 7d +33.3pp · 30d +60.0pp
13%3%

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
9.0¢ 125 10.0¢ 34
8.0¢ 520 11.0¢ 2145
7.0¢ 54 12.0¢ 3602
6.0¢ 3013 13.0¢ 950
5.0¢ 965 14.0¢ 5472
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 9.5¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.