kalshi Economics

Will there be a recession in 2026?

Starts
Closes Jan 31, 2027 (182d) 24h volume 46.5K Open interest 851.4K Event Recession this year?
8%
implied YES probability
+3.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 23% · Low 6% · 7d -41.7pp · 30d -41.7pp
23%6%

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
8.0¢ 7227 9.0¢ 4492
7.0¢ 216 10.0¢ 6123
6.0¢ 677 11.0¢ 5117
5.0¢ 2356 12.0¢ 1500
4.0¢ 972 13.0¢ 2001
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 8.5¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.