polymarket Science

Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?

140-159
Closes Dec 31, 2026 (196d) 24h volume $589 Open interest $12.5K Event How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
59%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 59% · Low 22% · 7d +2.5pp · 30d +48.7pp
59%22%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.