polymarket
Science
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
200 or more
5%
implied YES probability
-0.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 20% ·
Low 4%
· 7d +11.1pp
· 30d +11.1pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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SpaceX Launches Start of Acquisition Spree with Cursor After Historic IPO
Yahoo Finance · 14h ago
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Dow record, SpaceX rally, Federal Reserve decision 2026
Yahoo Finance · 17h ago
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SpaceX Shares Surge, US & Iran Prepare for Deal Signing | The Opening Trade 6/16/2026
Bloomberg Markets · 18h ago
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