Business Prediction Markets

M&A, regulatory, and earnings-event contracts.

50 active markets · $297.2K 24h volume · Updated

Top markets — Business

MarketSourceYES 24h volCloses
US recession by end of 2026? polymarket 14% $191.1K Dec 31, 2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? polymarket 6% $23.5K Dec 31, 2026
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 93% $22.2K Dec 31, 2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 1% $9.2K Dec 31, 2026
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 0% $8.6K Dec 31, 2026
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? polymarket 0% $8.0K Dec 31, 2026
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 0% $5.5K Dec 31, 2026
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 0% $5.1K Dec 31, 2026
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? polymarket 2% $3.5K Dec 31, 2026
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 0% $3.0K Dec 31, 2026
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? polymarket 6% $2.8K Dec 31, 2026
OpenAI IPO before 2027? polymarket 5% $2.2K Jan 01, 2027
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? polymarket 0% $2.0K Dec 31, 2026
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 0% $1.0K Dec 31, 2026
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? polymarket 68% $980 Dec 31, 2026
Anthropic IPO before 2027? polymarket 86% $980 Jan 01, 2027
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? polymarket 0% $927 Dec 31, 2026
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? polymarket 2% $815 Jan 01, 2027
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? polymarket 24% $742 Dec 31, 2026
AI bubble burst in 2026? polymarket 16% $662 Jan 01, 2027
Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day? polymarket 18% $551 Jan 01, 2028
Anduril IPO before 2027? polymarket 6% $409 Jan 01, 2027
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? polymarket 94% $393 Dec 31, 2027
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? polymarket 12% $392 Jan 01, 2027
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? polymarket 3% $360 Jan 01, 2028
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? polymarket 1% $342 Dec 31, 2026
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? polymarket 78% $245 Jan 01, 2028
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? polymarket 12% $220 Jan 01, 2027
Discord IPO before 2027? polymarket 11% $202 Jan 01, 2027
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? polymarket 8% $195 Jan 01, 2027
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? polymarket 5% $180 Jan 01, 2028
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? polymarket 16% $170 Jan 01, 2027
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? polymarket 12% $129 Jan 01, 2027
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? polymarket 7% $125 Dec 31, 2026
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? polymarket 0% $118 Jan 01, 2027
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? polymarket 5% $100 Jan 01, 2028
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? polymarket 3% $74 Jan 01, 2027
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? polymarket 3% $59 Jan 01, 2027
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? polymarket 6% $55 Jan 01, 2027
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027? polymarket 2% $50 Dec 31, 2026
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 0% $37 Dec 31, 2026
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? polymarket 28% $35 Jan 01, 2027
Vanta IPO before 2027? polymarket 2% $25 Jan 01, 2027
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? polymarket 14% $21 Jan 01, 2027
Will BP be acquired before 2027? polymarket 3% $21 Jan 01, 2027
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? polymarket 3% $10 Jan 01, 2027
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? polymarket 0% $8 Dec 31, 2026
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 0% $7 Dec 31, 2026
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? polymarket 0% $4 Dec 31, 2026
Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day? polymarket 29% $3 Jan 01, 2028

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