What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 68%, implying a 68% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Business

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

NVIDIA

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (105d) 24h volume $966 Open interest $447.5K Event Largest Company end of December 2026?

68%

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 80% · Low 48% · 7d -12.7pp · 30d -9.3pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other outcomes in this event

Related stocks

NVDA Nvidia Corp

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.