polymarket
Business
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Amazon
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 2% ·
Low 0%
· 7d +12.5pp
· 30d -25.0pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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Motley Fool · 6h ago
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IBD · 23h ago
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Yahoo Finance · 23h ago
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Amazon: The Market Is Starting To Understand The Opportunity
Seeking Alpha News · 1d ago
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently pricing Amazon at zero probability to be the largest company in the world by market capitalization on December 31, 2026. This assessment is informed by the current market capitalization of Amazon and other major companies, as well as their respective growth trajectories. The lack of significant price movement suggests that investors do not perceive a high likelihood of Amazon surpassing its competitors to achieve this milestone. Any developments that could impact Amazon's market capitalization, such as changes in leadership or shifts in the company's business strategy, would likely influence the price of this market. Conversely, if other companies experience significant growth or disruptions that hinder their ability to grow, it could lead to a reevaluation of Amazon's chances and potentially drive up its price.
Generated Jul 23, 2026
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.