Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

The prediction market for Michelle Bolsonaro's chances in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election currently indicates a 0% probability of her winning, with a YES price of $0.00. This assessment is based on current information and does not reflect any potential changes that may occur between now and the election date. The market will resolve according to the outcome of the election, including any potential second round. If the result is unknown by June 30, 2027, the market will default to "Other". Any significant developments or updates regarding Bolsonaro's candidacy or the broader political landscape in Brazil could potentially impact the market price, causing it to rise if Bolsonaro's chances improve or fall if her prospects worsen.