polymarket
Politics
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Romeu Zema
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 7% ·
Low 0%
· 7d -53.3pp
· 30d -68.2pp
How this market resolves
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for Romeu Zema's chances in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election currently assigns a 1% probability to his victory, reflected in a YES price of 0.01. This assessment is informed by known facts about the political landscape and the candidates involved. The current price may be influenced by factors such as public opinion polls, party affiliations, and campaign strategies. Any significant changes in these dynamics or new information that emerges could impact the market's perception of Zema's chances, potentially driving the YES price up or down.
Generated Jul 24, 2026
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