Will "SAVE Act" (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027?

Settles Jan 04, 2027 (65d) All outcomes: Will the SAVE Act become law?

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chance of YES4% +0.9pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
2–6%
30d +31 pts · 7d +68 pts
24h volume
188.3K
$1 contracts
Open interest
4.7M
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
4¢ / 5¢
spread 0.7¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
4.1¢ 20 4.8¢ 10,001
4.0¢ 2 4.9¢ 7,033
3.9¢ 14,771 5.0¢ 667
3.8¢ 900 5.1¢ 1,001
3.7¢ 5,191 5.2¢ 1,000

Mid 4.5¢ · spread 0.7¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO96¢ 2,193$2K
NO96¢ 3,905$4K
YES6¢ 46,173$3K
YES4¢ 102,448$5K
NO97¢ 1,148$1K
NO97¢ 15,444$15K
NO97¢ 3,509$3K
NO97¢ 1,129$1K
NO97¢ 15,986$16K
NO97¢ 1,973$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.