Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

The prediction market for Josh Stein winning the 2028 US Presidential Election currently indicates a 0% probability, with a YES price of $0.00. This assessment is informed by the fact that Stein has not yet announced his candidacy or gained significant traction in the political sphere. As the election date approaches, any developments that could impact Stein's chances of winning, such as an official announcement of his candidacy or notable endorsements, would likely drive the YES price up. Conversely, a lack of momentum or significant opposition from other candidates could cause the price to remain stagnant or even decrease. The market will resolve once all three designated sources (Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC) declare Stein the winner, or if he is inaugurated as President on January 20, 2029.