polymarket
Politics
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Kamala Harris
5%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 7% ·
Low 4%
· 7d -2.0pp
· 30d +36.6pp
How this market resolves
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for Kamala Harris winning the 2028 US Presidential Election currently indicates a 5% probability of her victory, with a YES price of 0.05. This assessment is informed by known facts about Harris's political career and public profile, as well as general trends in presidential elections. The current price does not reflect any specific event or development that would significantly alter the likelihood of her winning. A change in Harris's campaign momentum, policy positions, or public perception could potentially impact the YES price, driving it up if her chances improve or down if they decline.
Generated Jul 16, 2026
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