polymarket
Politics
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Marco Rubio
13%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 16% ·
Low 10%
· 7d -1.5pp
· 30d -18.2pp
How this market resolves
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for Marco Rubio's chances of winning the 2028 US Presidential Election currently indicates a 13% probability, with a YES price of 0.13. This assessment is informed by known facts about Rubio's political career and current standing in the election cycle. The market is asking whether Rubio will emerge victorious on November 7, 2028, when the presidential election takes place. A change in Rubio's campaign momentum, such as a significant shift in public opinion or a major endorsement, could potentially impact the price of this market, driving it up if Rubio's chances appear to be improving or down if they seem to be declining.
Generated Jul 25, 2026
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