polymarket
Politics
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Adanech Abiebie
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 2% ·
Low 0%
· 7d -20.0pp
· 30d -50.0pp
How this market resolves
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market on Adanech Abiebie being the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia reflects a consensus that her likelihood of assuming the office is currently zero. This assessment is informed by the fact that general elections are scheduled to take place in 2026, and as of now, there is no publicly available information indicating Abiebie's strong candidacy or any notable endorsements. The market will resolve once the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia is officially appointed and sworn in following the 2026 General elections. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister would not be considered for resolution purposes. If no Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, the market will remain unresolved.
Generated Jul 30, 2026
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