Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The prediction market for Gedion Timothewos to be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia reflects a current probability of zero percent, as indicated by the YES price of 0.00. This assessment is informed by the fact that General elections are scheduled to take place in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026, and no official appointment or swearing-in of Gedion Timothewos as Prime Minister has occurred prior to this date. The market will resolve once an individual officially assumes the office of Prime Minister following the 2026 General elections. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not be considered for resolution purposes. A change in probability would require new information that significantly alters the likelihood of Gedion Timothewos being appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister, such as a shift in political alliances or a surprise announcement from the individual themselves.