polymarket
Politics
Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Belete Molla
1%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 82 days ·
High 3% ·
Low 0%
· 7d -14.3pp
· 30d +100.0pp
How this market resolves
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for Belete Molla to be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia indicates a current probability of zero percent, with the YES price at $0.00. This suggests that the market is currently assigning a negligible chance to Belete Molla assuming the office of Prime Minister following the 2026 General elections. The market's assessment is informed by the fact that Belete Molla has not yet been officially appointed or sworn in as Prime Minister, and that general elections are still several months away. Any changes to this assessment would likely require significant developments in Belete Molla's political prospects or a shift in the overall political landscape of Ethiopia.
Generated Jul 22, 2026
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