polymarket
Politics
Iran Nuke before 2027?
8%
implied YES probability
+0.6pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 14% ·
Low 6%
· 7d -20.1pp
· 30d -20.1pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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