What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 78%, implying a 78% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Josh Shapiro

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (563d) 24h volume 404 Open interest 3.1K Event Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

78%

implied YES probability

Last 26 days · High 85% · Low 75% · 7d +2.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.