What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Above $2.44

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (175d) 24h volume 40 Open interest 501 Event Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

16%

implied YES probability

-23.0pp 24h

Last 10 days · High 88% · Low 9% · 7d -77.9pp

NVDA Nvidia Corp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.