What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 10%, implying a 10% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 4.10

Closes Jul 31, 2026 (21d) 24h volume 1.9K Open interest 2.5K Event Gas prices in the US in Jul 2026?

10%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 8 days · High 32% · Low 5% · 7d +433.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.