What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 18, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Conservative

Closes Jun 18, 2027 (366d) 24h volume 8 Open interest 421 Event Aberdeen South by-election winner

20%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 7 days · High 33% · Low 22%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.