What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 78%, implying a 78% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 18, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

SNP

Closes Jun 18, 2027 (366d) 24h volume 36 Open interest 1.0K Event Aberdeen South by-election winner

78%

implied YES probability

Last 9 days · High 82% · Low 64% · 7d +15.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.