What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Jan 1, 2027

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 117 Open interest 41.3K Event Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?

implied YES probability

Last 34 days · High 12% · Low 3% · 7d +45.2pp · 30d -25.0pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.