What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 20, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Jan 20, 2029

Closes Jan 20, 2029 (948d) 24h volume 38 Open interest 5.7K Event Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?

18%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 17 days · High 28% · Low 12% · 7d +10.5pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.