What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Lebanon

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 36 Open interest 23.1K Event Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

16%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 75 days · High 32% · Low 10% · 7d -19.1pp · 30d -19.1pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.