What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 54%, implying a 54% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 75000

Closes Jul 01, 2026 (14d) 24h volume 20 Open interest 178 Event ADP employment change in Jun 2026?

54%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 63% · Low 24%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.