What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 02, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

By Jan 1, 2027

Closes Jan 02, 2027 (199d) 24h volume 101 Open interest 17.4K Event Will AI regulation become law in 2026?

28%

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 73 days · High 33% · Low 15% · 7d +11.5pp · 30d +11.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.