What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 105K

Closes Jul 26, 2026 (16d) 24h volume 9 Open interest 145 Event Daughter From Hell: First Week Pure Album Sales

50%

implied YES probability

+11.0pp 24h

Last 12 days · High 52% · Low 23% · 7d -3.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.