What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 82%, implying a 82% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 75K

Closes Jul 26, 2026 (16d) 24h volume 106 Open interest 761 Event Daughter From Hell: First Week Pure Album Sales

82%

implied YES probability

+18.0pp 24h

Last 16 days · High 77% · Low 45% · 7d +10.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.