What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 93%, implying a 93% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Before August

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 62 Open interest 2.3K Event When will Ariana Grande release a new album?

93%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 27 days · High 99% · Low 82% · 7d -7.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.