What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 97%, implying a 97% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Before September

Closes Sep 01, 2026 (53d) 24h volume 11 Open interest 3.6K Event When will Ariana Grande release a new album?

97%

implied YES probability

Last 15 days · High 99% · Low 86% · 7d -3.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.