What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 95%, implying a 95% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 02, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 10.75B

Closes Jan 02, 2027 (199d) 24h volume 190 Open interest 1.2K Event Michael Jackson Streams in 2026

95%

implied YES probability

+6.0pp 24h

Last 32 days · High 98% · Low 71% · 7d +1.0pp · 30d +18.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.