What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 02, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 9.75B

Closes Jan 02, 2027 (199d) 24h volume 330 Open interest 1.5K Event Michael Jackson Streams in 2026

98%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 9 days · High 99% · Low 91% · 7d +5.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.