What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 52%, implying a 52% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 5.8%

Closes Aug 04, 2026 (48d) 24h volume 12 Open interest 246 Event Auto-loan delinquencies in Q2 2026

52%

implied YES probability

Last 3 days · High 54% · Low 54%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.