What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before 2029

Closes Jan 01, 2029 (928d) 24h volume 58 Open interest 13.0K Event Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?

50%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 47 days · High 58% · Low 24% · 7d -2.0pp · 30d +75.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.